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The model reaches break-even without relying on FX margins.

It excludes FX margins and additional financial revenue layers.

Break-even is achieved without them.

They represent pure upside.

Forecast Center

Unit K€

Topics

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Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
Gross Revenue

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2,550
65,246
134,001
248,544
405,273
Net Banking Income

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1,202
24,556
51,412
88,825
151,962
Direct Margin

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419
19,392
34,814
53,979
111,255
EBITDA

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(4,333)
5640
8,881
4,102
12,257

Revenue begins shortly after GoLive (month 6–7), with break-even targeted within ~12–13 months.

Key insights:

  • Revenue is driven by transaction frequency and cross-border flows, not just user growth.

  • Margins expand over time with infrastructure control (EMI transition)

  • EBITDA turns positive early due to controlled CAC and disciplined cost structure.

Downside protected. Upside embedded.

Profitability is achieved before full monetization is activated.

This model scales non-linearly with volume.

As transaction activity increases, revenue expands faster than costs due to:

  • fixed infrastructure base

  • increasing margin capture

  • improving unit economics over time

This is not a growth-dependent model.
It is a volume-driven infrastructure model with expanding margins.